By Nathaniel Williams
5/21/2012 4:15:00 PM
While mainstream analysts tried to calculate every way the Greek debt deal could boost stocks, the March 2012 European Financial Forecast instead pointed out that near- and long-term gauges of investor sentiment were reaching a critical juncture: "The setup for a stock reversal is ideal," wrote Whitmer. How did that forecast work out?
Filed Under: european markets, eurozone
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
5/16/2012 5:30:00 PM
Almost all bank buildings look solid on the outside. But, of course, the goings-on inside are what count. Greece is again in the spotlight, yet we know the financial health of other European banks is the bigger question...
Filed Under: banks, Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, Goldman Sachs, soverign debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Nico Isaac
5/4/2012 6:00:00 PM
It’s been two years since the sovereign debt crisis crashed onto the European shores. And, despite 1-plus trillion euros in emergency bailout loans, the region’s economy has -- as my British friends would say -- “gone pear-shaped.” So, is this what rock bottom feels like?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
4/27/2012 4:00:00 PM
Shortly after the fourteenth European debt crisis summit concluded and there was an "extraordinary shift from negativity to optimism," the November 2011 Global Market Perspective flatly said "The current level of unpayable debt is too big to bail." Yet financial journalists and many of the economists they interview have been busy talking about rising markets and recovering economies. Some were even saying that Europe's debt crisis was "under control." It seems not...
Filed Under: debt downgrade, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Short Term Update, soverign debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
4/23/2012 2:15:00 PM
Here's an example of how EWI helps you see what's going to happen financially in Europe before it happens: Just five days after our analyst published his analysis last year, showing that Portugal was on the threshold of needing a bailout, Portugal's government officially requested a bailout. One month later, it got one.
Filed Under: bailouts, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone
Category: European Markets
By Nico Isaac
4/20/2012 5:30:00 PM
It’s been over two years since the European Central Bank began its open-heart surgery of the eurozone's anemic economy. So far, the procedure has included an unprecedented $3 trillion-plus in bailouts, monetary transfusions, AND toxic debt transplants. Yet, according to a recent slew of discomforting news reports, the economies across the pond would still flatline in seconds without constant life support.
Filed Under: bailouts, banks, central banks, Club EWI, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, monetary policy
Category: European Markets
London Prices Falling Down, Falling Down: What Inflation?
EWI's European Financial Forecast has a mountain of evidence proving that the looming threat in Europe is not inflation.
By Nico Isaac
4/17/2012 3:15:00 PM
Despite what you may have heard about ever-higher prices on High Street -- London's equivalent of the shopping nexus Rodeo Drive -- the real numbers do NOT lie: Since topping in late 2011, both Britain's Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index have fallen to multi-year lows. Today, we present a "mountain of evidence" against the growing legion of Europe's die-hard inflationists.
Filed Under: Bank of England, central banks, europe, european markets, inflation, Interest Rates, monetary policy
Category: European Markets
By Nico Isaac
3/30/2012 6:30:00 PM
Let's hear it for European equities. The major stock markets across the pond saw their best first-quarter winning streak since 2006. And while many experts are waiting to see how the markets deal with Europe's austerity measures -- the April 2012 European Financial Forecast lets the cat out the bag: "European Stocks Have Already Signaled" their next move. Take note, because this is what it feels like to watch history in the making.
Filed Under: AEX, banks, CAC40, DAX, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, inflation, Swiss Market Index (SMI)
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
3/27/2012 10:45:00 AM
If all your friends and the critics say a summer blockbuster movie is worth seeing, you might just go. But if everyone says European stocks are the place to invest, do you invest? That was the situation last spring when EWI's European analyst took a contrarian stance based on this key tip-off.
Filed Under: europe, european markets
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
3/9/2012 12:30:00 PM
News drives the stock market, according to the mainstream financial media. So it's no surprise that before the latest Greek debt deal was finalized, Fox News published an article whose headline proclaimed, "If a Greek Deal Gets Done, Markets Will Celebrate."
But here's the problem with that headline: Greek markets celebrated before the debt deal.
Filed Under: european markets, Greek debt
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:45:00 AM
When you look at a long-term chart of Europe's four main stock indexes --- the DAX, FTSE-100, CAC-40 and EuroStoxx 50 -- you notice one striking detail: Since at least 2000, every prolonged stock market rally turned out to be a set-up for another devastating crash. This fact is obvious when you glance at the opening chart of EWI's new, March 2012 European Financial Forecast. Of course, European stocks have rallied strongly off their 2009 lows, too. What should you make of this?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, debt crisis, debt downgrade, economic depression, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, investment decisions, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
European Stocks: A Chicken or a Fox?
EWI's European Stocks Specialty Service brings you original price charts and objective Elliott wave analysis of the Euro STOXX 50's next big move
By Nico Isaac
2/8/2012 5:30:00 PM
If you didn't know any better, you might think the recent news items regarding the European stock markets were being written from inside a loony bin. Case in point, the following slew of Euro-related headlines: "European stocks DECLINED as Greek talks... continued" -- VERSUS -- "European Stocks RISE Amid Greet Debt Talks."
Filed Under: Bob Prechter, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro stoxx 50, europe, european markets, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis, prechter, Prechter's Perspective, Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/3/2012 6:45:00 PM
Mainstream analysts can busily debate Europe's "fundamentals," but here at Elliott Wave international our European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer reports this...
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, prechter, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
Greek Stocks Surge 21%: How to Be Prepared for the Next "Surprise" out of Greece
Elliott Wave International's European Short Term Update explains why the latest rally in Greece's FT-ASE was a predictable event -- without the news or "fundamentals."
By Nathaniel Williams
2/2/2012 12:00:00 PM
Here at EWI, our analysts don't forecast based on the whims of the financial news or "fundamentals", because we know from observing market behavior for over 30 years that news and events are not the markets' driving force. Instead, we study price chart patterns -- a method we've found much more reliable at predicting trend changes. Let me show you an example using the latest stock rally in Greece.
Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt
Category: European Markets
Who Downgraded France before S&P Did?
Discover how rating agencies simply endorse the judgments that stock markets make
By Nathaniel Williams
1/24/2012 2:00:00 PM
After Standard & Poor's downgraded France on Jan. 13, 2012, some analysts were shocked -- while others fiercely criticized the move. But is it S&P they should be mad at?
Filed Under: debt downgrade, europe, European debt crisis, european markets
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/8/2012 11:00:00 PM
Since August 2011, the FTSE 100 has rallied in a series of three-wave structures. The FTSE Small Cap Index recorded lower lows in both October and November. The DAX’s retracement high this past fall was a Fibonacci 61.8% of its previous decline. Rallies were weaker in the CAC 40 and Eurostoxx 50, as both indexes have retraced about 50% of their respective sell-offs. Get the detailed analysis of these observations -- and our forecasts -- in the opening section of the January 2012 European Financial Forecast.
Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
1/3/2012 5:00:00 PM
Watch our EWI's European analyst explain how a classic Elliott wave pattern unfolded in the price of Euro swaps.
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, european markets
Category: European Markets
By Laura Rispin
12/30/2011 4:00:00 PM
EWI's analysts have been anticipating and tracking the credit contagion across the European nations for the past two years. Elliott Wave International subscribers were first alerted to the still-developing European debt crisis back in December 2009.
Filed Under: europe, European debt crisis, investment decisions
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/22/2011 5:45:00 PM
At EWI, our main forecasting tool is Elliott wave analysis. But our analysts also use a number of other, supporting technical indicators. Keltner Channels are one of the favorite technical analysis tools the editor of our European Short Term Update Chris Carolan uses. Watch this free video for more >>
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, video
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
12/16/2011 5:15:00 PM
Credit rating agencies can upgrade or downgrade their ratings of financial institutions, but they don't determine the safety of those institutions -- the market does. An EU crackdown wouldn't change the market's underlying reality.
Filed Under: europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone
Category: European Markets